Meeting paper
PCOGS paper
Who is at risk for prolonged and postterm pregnancy?

Presented at the 75th Annual Meeting of the Pacific Coast Obstetrical and Gynecological Society, Victoria, BC, Canada, Oct. 15-19, 2008.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajog.2009.02.034Get rights and content

Objective

The objective of the study was to examine risk factors for postterm (gestational age ≥ 42 weeks) or prolonged (gestational age ≥ 41 weeks) pregnancy.

Study Design

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all term, singleton pregnancies delivered at a mature, managed care organization. The primary outcome measures were the rates of pregnancies greater than 41 or 42 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to control for potential confounding and interaction.

Results

Specific risk factors for pregnancy beyond 41 weeks of gestation include obesity (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-1.37), nulliparity (aOR, 1.46; 95% CI 1.42-1.51), and maternal age 30-39 years (aOR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.10) and 40 years or older (aOR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.12). Additionally, African American, Latina, and Asian race/ethnicity were all associated with a lower risk of reaching 41 or 42 weeks of gestation.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that there may be biological differences that underlie the risk for women to progress to 41 or 42 weeks of gestation. In particular, obesity is a modifiable risk factor and could potentially be prevented with prepregnancy or interpregnancy interventions.

Section snippets

Materials and Methods

We designed a retrospective cohort study of all women who delivered singleton pregnancies at 37 weeks' gestational age or greater within the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program's (KPMCP) Northern California Region from Jan. 1, 1995, to Dec. 31, 1999. We excluded women with previa or a prior cesarean delivery because of the high proportion of these women who would be delivered prior to 40 weeks of gestation.

Maternal and neonatal demographic data were obtained by scanning the KPMCP

Results

The study cohort consisted of 119,162 women who experienced term births. Forty-five percent of these women delivered between 37 and 39 weeks' gestation, 37% delivered at 40 weeks' gestation, 15% delivered at 41 weeks' gestation, and fewer than 3% delivered at 42 weeks or beyond. In bivariate comparisons there was a statistically significant association between maternal age, race/ethnicity, parity, obesity, chronic hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and fetal sex and having a term pregnancy

Comment

In this cohort of women delivering at 37 weeks or beyond, we found that there were several factors associated with prolonged and postterm pregnancy. Among these, obesity is the 1 truly modifiable risk factor upon which prepregnancy or interpregnancy dietary and exercise behavioral modifications could theoretically improve. Obviously such modifications would have an impact on other health outcomes as well, but because postterm pregnancy is associated with a litany of perinatal complications

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    Reprints not available from the authors.

    This study was supported in part by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Grant P01 HS010856 (Promoting Effective Communication and Decision Making for Diverse Populations). A.B.C. is supported by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation as a Physician Faculty Scholar. N.E.S. is supported by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Grant HD01262 as a Women's Reproductive Health Research Scholar.

    The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.

    Cite this article as: Caughey AB, Stotland NE, Washington AE, et al. Who is at risk for prolonged and postterm pregnancy? Am J Obstet Gynecol 2009;200:683.e1-683.e5.

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