Table 6

Correlation between pre-test probabilities and mutation prevalence in breast only families

Pre-test probability quartiles
Model1st (n=18)2nd (n=18)3rd (n=18)4th (n=18)Correlation coeficient
HCSC
    Average pre-test probability0.050.100.150.400.977
    Prevalence of mutations (95% CI)0 (0.0 to 0.18)0.16 (0.05 to 0.38)0.22 (0.09 to 0.45)0.50 (0.29 to 0.71)p=0.023
LUMC
    Average pre-test probability0.010.050.090.260.829
    Prevalence of mutations (95% CI)0 (0.0 to 0.18)0.16 (0.05 to 0.38)0.33 (0.16 to 0.56)0.38 (0.20 to 0.61)p=NS
U Penn
    Average pre-test probability0.020.040.050.100.86
    Prevalence of mutations (95% CI)0 (0.0 to 0.18)0.16 (0.05 to 0.38)0.33 (0.16 to 0.56)0.38 (0.20 to 0.61)p=NS
HUCH
    Average pre-test probability0.020.060.110.230.86
    Prevalence of mutations (95% CI)0 (0.0 to 0.18)0.27 (0.12 to 0.50)0.16 (0.05 to 0.38)0.44 (0.24 to 0.66)p=NS
Frank 2002
    Average pre-test probability0.080.160.180.330.97
    Prevalence of mutations (95% CI)0 (0.0 to 0.18)0.11 (0.03 to 0.33)0.28 (0.13 to 0.51)0.50 (0.29 to 0.71)p=0.03
Risk counsellor
    Average pre-test probability0.240.370.490.670.81
    Prevalence of mutations (95% CI)0.06 (0.01 to 0.26)0.28 (0.13 to 0.51)0.16 (0.05 to 0.38)0.39 (0.20 to 0.61)p=NS